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☆ Direct Iran-Israel war could spike oil by $30 to $40, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A direct war between Israel and Iran could lead to substantially higher oil prices through 2025, according to Bank of America. This scenario assumes that Iran's crude oil production falls by up to 1.5 million barrels per day due to the war. Crude oil prices have fallen for three consecutive trading sessions in the wake of Iran's weekend missile and drone assault against Israel. The bank has penciled in the first Fed interest rate cut in December, and oil prices would come down by then though remain elevated. "Should supply losses build up regionally, it may also prove difficult to access spare production capacity, so oil prices would likely settle above $150/bbl for several months," the bank's analysts forecast.

Persons: Brent, Israel, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Israel, Bank, Federal, bbl, Israeli Locations: Israel, Iran, OPEC, U.S

☆ British investment bank says buy defense stocks, brace for $100 oil and 10% stock market correction
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices were slightly lower Monday as Israel, aided by the U.S., fended off Iran's aerial barrage. The investment bank believes aerospace and defense stocks could outperform in the short run in light of growing geopolitical risks. The biggest ETF in the industry is the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) , with about $5 billion in assets under management. Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA ) and SPDR S & P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) are two other popular offerings. To be sure, Liberum thinks the stock market could quickly reverse any losses as soon as the tensions in the Middle East ease.

Persons: Israel retaliating, Liberum, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Liberum, U.S ., Federal Reserve, West Texas Intermediate, May, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, ITA, Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF, P Aerospace & Defense ETF Locations: Iran, Israel, Damascus, Syria, U.S

☆ Oil holds onto gains as investors bet on tighter supply
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices edged down slightly on Monday, holding on to most of their recent gains amid expectations of tighter supply from OPEC+ cuts, attacks on Russian refineries and upbeat Chinese manufacturing data. Brent crude fell 17 cents, or 0.2%, to $86.83 a barrel by 0017 GMT after rising 2.4% last week. Drone attacks knocked out several Russian refineries, which is expected to reduce Russia's fuel exports. In Europe, oil demand was firmer than expected, rising 100,000 bpd on year in February, Goldman Sachs analysts said, versus its forecast of a 200,000 bpd contraction in 2024. Investors are also scouring U.S. economic data for signs of when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year which will support the global economy and oil demand.

Persons: Brent, Alexander Novak, Goldman Sachs Organizations: . West Texas, of, Petroleum, bbl, Federal Reserve Locations: New Mexico, U.S, OPEC, Russian, Europe, 2024Q4

☆ People are regretting their 'Katespiracy' theories after Kate Middleton's cancer announcement
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-22 | by ( Julia Pugachevsky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewBefore Kate Middleton announced her cancer diagnosis on Friday, the internet speculated about her public absence for weeks. A manipulated photo fueled theories online. everyone deleting their Kate Middleton conspiracy theoriespic.twitter.com/VepqJG8Nxu — Justin Credible (@GravySauceCream) March 22, 2024Aware of how wrong they were, some people have poked fun at themselves for "spreading Kate Middleton misinformation" and liking false tweets about her. "Let this be a lesson to us all…dont wander into wild and ridiculous conspiracy theories," said X user Jamie Schler. "Two things can be true: Cancer is awful, and the Kate Middleton reality is very sad," said X user Mel Woods.

Persons: —, Kate Middleton, Middleton, Prince William, Rose Hanbury, Blake Lively, Ben Yahr, Stephen Colbert, John Oliver, Oliver, Colbert, Singer, VepqJG8Nxu, Justin, Jamie Schler, King Charles, Mel Woods Organizations: Service, Business, BBL

☆ Oil prices edge down as Russia lifts supplies, jet fuel demand stirs caution
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices edged down early on Tuesday after gaining in the previous trading session, due in part to the prospect of rising supply from Russia as well as the possibility of slower-than-expected downstream demand in sectors such as jet fuel. The Brent crude oil futures contract for May delivery slipped 16 cents to $86.73 a barrel as at 0300 GMT, whereas that for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell 13 cents to $82.03. Regarding Russia, supply concern stemming from increased exports following Ukrainian attacks on the country's oil infrastructure continued to pressure prices downward. Global jet fuel prices are likely to be "higher by 5.4% over our previous forecast to USD111/bbl as soft demand is expected to give way to peak summer travel and stronger prices", BMI analysts wrote in a client note. "However, a global economic slowdown will temper consumption of air travel and weigh on jet fuel prices limiting price upside," they added.

Persons: JP Morgan Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, U.S ., Global, bbl, BMI Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, China

☆ The Kate Middleton photo drama is the gift that social media needed
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Alexandra Bacon | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Some social media users say Twitter has become irrelevant since it was rebranded as X. But the recent flurry of memes about Kate Middleton has reignited the platform. AdvertisementSince Elon Musk took over Twitter and rebranded it to X, some users have suggested that the social media platform has become irrelevant. But the recent Kate Middleton debacle has reignited some of the old-school enjoyment on the site and app. AdvertisementSome X users are showing self-awareness of how far they've fallen down the "Katespiracy'" rabbit hole.

Persons: Kate Middleton, —, Elon Musk, Wales, Middleton, Princess Organizations: Twitter, Service, BBL Locations: Kensington, Middleton

☆ Brent slips toward $80/bbl ahead of OPEC+ meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Florence Tan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSINGAPORE, Nov 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices slipped on Monday, with Brent falling toward $80 a barrel, as investors awaited the OPEC+ meeting later this week for an agreement to curb supplies into 2024. Since then, the group has moved closer to a compromise, four OPEC+ sources told Reuters on Friday. Ahead of the OPEC+ meeting, estimated exports by OPEC countries have declined to 1.3 million barrels per day below levels in April, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note, in line with the group's supply targets. The International Energy Agency said it expects a slight surplus in global oil markets in 2024 even if the OPEC+ nations extend their cuts into next year.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Brent, Goldman Sachs, Vivek Dhar, Florence Tan, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, Friday, ING, OPEC, United, International Energy Agency, Commonwealth Bank, IEA, Thomson Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Rights SINGAPORE, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi, United Arab Emirates, Gaza

☆ $72/bbl 'feels like a bottom' for oil prices: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email$72/bbl 'feels like a bottom' for oil prices: StrategistMichele Schneider of MarketGauge.com says there are many factors that could combine to bring prices back up in the oil market.

Persons: Michele Schneider, MarketGauge.com Organizations: bbl

☆ Oil prices on track for fourth straight week of decline
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices were on track for the fourth straight week of decline as they remained little changed in early Asian trade after slipping about 5% to a four month-low on Thursday on worries over global demand. OPEC and the International Energy Agency have both predicted supply tightness in the fourth quarter, but some key economic data from around the world this week showed demand was bleaker than forecast. The oil prices' decline this week was mainly triggered by a steep rise in U.S. crude inventories and production sustaining at record levels, which analysts say triggered concerns of weak demand in the world's largest oil consumer amid high output. JPMorgan commodities research said on Friday its global oil demand tracker showed demand averaged 101.6 million barrels a day in the first half of November, running 200,000 barrels a day lower than its projection for the month. Analysts said that the recent drop in prices is also likely to make Saudi Arabia extend oil output cuts into 2024.

Persons: Brent Organizations: . West Texas, ING, International Energy Agency, Analysts Locations: Saudi Arabia, Vienna

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. Also weighing on prices, U.S. crude oil stocks rose by almost 12 million barrels last week, market sources said late on Tuesday, citing American Petroleum Institute figures. Data from China, the world's biggest crude oil importer, showed its total exports of goods and services contracted faster than expected, feeding worries about the energy demand outlook. Analysts from Goldman Sachs estimated seaborne net oil exports by six countries from oil producer group OPEC will remain only 600,000 bpd below April levels. The government eased restrictions on Oct. 6, allowing diesel exports by pipeline, but kept measures on gasoline exports.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Goldman Sachs, Warren Patterson, Ewa Manthey, Phil Flynn, Nikolai Shulginov, Brent, Stephanie Kelly, Paul Carsten, Muyu Xu, Marguerita Choy, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, bbl, YORK, Brent, ING, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Price Futures, Goldman, OPEC, Barclays, Thomson Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Russia, China, Israel, Gaza, Beijing, OPEC, Moscow

Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. Brent crude futures closed below $84 a barrel for the first time since Hamas Islamists' Oct. 7 attack on Israel. A recovery in oil exports from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries also added to the pressure on oil prices, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. On the demand side, China's crude oil imports in October showed robust growth but its total exports of goods and services contracted at a quicker pace than expected. "There are concerns in the oil markets about both rising supply and sliding demand," said Mizuho analyst Robert Yawger.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Powell, Craig Erlam, Giovanni Staunovo, Staunovo, Brent, Fiona Cincotta, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Robert Yawger, It's, Shariq Khan, Trixie Yap, Yuka Obayashi, David Gregorio, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, bbl, BENGALURU, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Traders, Organization of Petroleum, UBS, U.S . Energy Information Administration, ., Minneapolis Federal, Investors, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Israel, U.S, Bengaluru, Singapore, Tokyo

LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - The UK government has scrapped guarantees on nearly 1 billion pounds ($1.2 billion) of bank loans handed out to ailing businesses during the COVID-19 pandemic, leaving lenders on the hook for some of the borrowings that will not be repaid. The figures could rise further - latest figures show just 17 billion pounds have been fully repaid by borrowers as of June 30. The largest and most controversial, the "Bounce Back Loan" (BBL) scheme, delivered 47 billion pounds and was specially designed to help Britain's smallest firms stay afloat. Following the removal, any financial loss is borne in full by the lender, BBB said. The figures also showed the government had paid out 7.4 billion pounds to lenders under the state guarantees.

Persons: Theodore Agnew, Sinead Cruise, Iain Withers, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Reuters, British Business Bank, Barclays, NatWest, Lloyds, HSBC, Bank, Finance, BBL, BBB, Thomson Locations: London

☆ How oil could spike to $150, even $250 if Israel-Hamas war escalates, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Wall Street side of the Charlotte-based bank laid out scenarios where oil could hit $150 per barrel, or even $250, depending on how the war shakes out. The international oil benchmark Brent crude held around $88 Wednesday after trading closer to $94 late last week. Bank of America sees any escalation involving Iran triggering a jump to $120 to $130 per barrel. If a physical supply disruption occurs because of attacks on energy infrastructure, oil could surge above $130 a barrel, Bank of America said. If the strait is closed, oil prices can spike above $250 per barrel, the bank said.

Persons: BofA Organizations: Hamas, Bank of America, Brent, . West Texas, West Texas, U.S, Hezbollah, bbl Locations: Israel, Charlotte, Iran, Palestinian, Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, Tehran, Syria, Lebanese, Hormuz

☆ Oil spikes as Middle East strife heightens supply concerns
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Natalie Grover | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Crude oil storage tanks are seen from above at the Cushing oil hub, appearing to run out of space to contain a historic supply glut that has hammered prices, in Cushing, Oklahoma, March 24, 2016. Brent crude futures were up $1.33, or about 1.5%, to $91.23 a barrel at 1231 GMT. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) futures were up $1.28, or roughly 1.5%, at $87.94 a barrel. "This turn of diplomatic fortunes again garners fear of conflict spread and therefore the leap in oil," said John Evans of oil broker PVM. Elsewhere in the Saudi city of Jeddah, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian urged members of the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation to impose an oil embargo on Israel.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Brent, Jordan, Biden, Joe Biden, John Evans, Hossein Amirabdollahian, Vivek Dhar, Harry Murphy Cruise, Natalie Grover, Arathy, Muyu Xu, Lincoln, Jason Neely, Elaine Hardcastle, Louise Heavens Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, West Texas, U.S, Hamas, Iranian, of Islamic Cooperation, Reuters, Israel Hamas, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, American Petroleum Institute, Golden, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, Iran, Israel, OPEC, U.S, Gaza, Gaza City, Saudi, Jeddah

Crude oil storage tanks are seen from above at the Cushing oil hub, appearing to run out of space to contain a historic supply glut that has hammered prices, in Cushing, Oklahoma, March 24, 2016. In earlier trade, both benchmarks gained more than $2 to touch their highest levels in two weeks. Jordan then cancelled a summit it was to host with U.S. President Joe Biden and Egyptian and Palestinian leaders. "A long occupation looms as the scenario that pushes Brent oil futures above $US100/bbl because it raises the risk that the Israel Hamas conflict expands and potentially draws in Iran directly," Dhar said. Also supporting oil prices, U.S. crude stocks fell by about 4.4 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 13, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Jordan, Joe Biden, Biden, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Harry Murphy Cruise, Arathy Somesekhar, Muyu Xu, Sonali Paul, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, West Texas, U.S, Israel Hamas, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Israel, Hamas, American Petroleum Institute, Golden, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, Gaza, Gaza City, Israel, Iran, China

Crude oil storage tanks are seen from above at the Cushing oil hub, appearing to run out of space to contain a historic supply glut that has hammered prices, in Cushing, Oklahoma, March 24, 2016. Jordan then cancelled a summit it was to host with U.S. President Joe Biden and Egyptian and Palestinian leaders. "A long occupation looms as the scenario that pushes Brent oil futures above $US100/bbl because it raises the risk that the Israel Hamas conflict expands and potentially draws in Iran directly," Dhar said. Also supporting oil prices, U.S. crude stocks fell by about 4.4 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 13, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Interest rate hikes to curb inflation can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Jordan, Joe Biden, Biden, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Harry Murphy Cruise, Arathy Somesekhar, Muyu Xu, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, West Texas, U.S, Israel Hamas, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Israel, Hamas, American Petroleum Institute, Golden, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, Gaza, Gaza City, Israel, Iran, China

Crude oil storage tanks are seen from above at the Cushing oil hub, appearing to run out of space to contain a historic supply glut that has hammered prices, in Cushing, Oklahoma, March 24, 2016. Jordan then cancelled a summit it was to host with U.S. President Joe Biden and Egyptian and Palestinian leaders. Also supporting oil prices, U.S. crude stocks fell by about 4.4 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 13, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Interest rate hikes to curb inflation can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. The U.S. has imposed sanctions on oil exports from Venezuela since 2019 and while sanctions relief is expected to boost oil supply oil flow, analysts expect any increases from the country to take time due to a lack of investment.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Jordan, Joe Biden, Biden, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Arathy Somesekhar, Muyu Xu, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, West Texas, U.S, Israel Hamas, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Israel, Palestinian, Jihad, Hamas, American Petroleum Institute, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, Gaza, Gaza City, Israel, Iran, U.S, Venezuela

☆ Oil dips on investor caution as market eyes Middle East turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Jeslyn Lerh | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

An aerial view shows an oil factory of Idemitsu Kosan Co. in Ichihara, east of Tokyo, Japan November 12, 2021, in this photo taken by Kyodo. While Israel produces very little crude oil, markets worried that if the conflict escalates it could hurt Middle East supply and worsen an expected deficit for the rest of the year. Israel's port of Ashkelon and its oil terminal have been shut in the wake of the conflict, sources said on Monday. "If the U.S. finds evidence directly implicating Iran, then the immediate reduction in Iran's oil exports becomes a reality," said Vivek Dhar, an energy analyst at CBA. In a more positive sign for supply, Venezuela and the U.S. have progressed in talks that could provide sanctions relief to Caracas by allowing at least one additional foreign oil firm to take Venezuelan crude oil under some conditions.

Persons: Brent, Israel, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Jeslyn Lerh, Arathy Somasekhar, Jamie Freed, Kim Coghill Organizations: Kyodo, Rights, U.S, West Texas, Hamas, ING, CBA, bbl, Thomson Locations: Idemitsu, Ichihara, Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Iran, Ashkelon, United States, U.S, Palestine, Venezuela, Caracas, Singapore, Houston

☆ US stocks skid, oil surges on Middle East conflict
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

In particular, there was a chance oil supplies from Iran might be disrupted, they added. "Given the tightness already facing physical oil markets in Q4 2023, an immediate reduction in Iran's oil exports risks pushing Brent futures above $US100/bbl in the short term." Early Monday, markets seemed to think developments in the Middle East would lean against further Fed hikes, and perhaps hasten a policy easing next year. The news from the Middle East could sour the start of corporate earnings season with 12 S&P 500 companies reporting this week including JP Morgan, Citi, and Wells Fargo. "Near-trend economic growth and moderating inflation pressures will support modest sales growth and slim margin improvement," Goldman analysts aid in a note.

Persons: Androniki, Brent, Israel, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam, Sonali Paul Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, CBA, bbl, Nasdaq, Reserve, Citi, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SYDNEY, Asia, South Korea, Iran, Gaza, Pacific, China, Wells

Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. "The worst week for crude since March is starting to attract buyers given the oil market will still remain tight over the short-term," Moya said. "We think that once markets start paying attention to falling global oil stockpiles, Brent oil futures will likely creep back up above $US90/bbl," the Commonwealth Bank of Australia said in a note on Friday. U.S. government data this week showed a sharp decline in U.S. gasoline demand, with economic data showing the U.S. services sector had slowed. "The non-farm payroll data tonight, the US CPI, and China's economic data next week will be key to steering oil's movements.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Brent, Bond, Edward Moya, Moya, Tina Teng, Sudarshan Varadhan, Sonali Paul, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, West Texas, JPMorgan, National Australia Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, CPI, CMC Markets, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, United States

☆ Oil prices surge to highest level in more than a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Andrey Rudakov | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesOil prices surged to their highest level in over a year during Asian trading hours, after crude stocks at a key storage hub fell to their lowest since July last year. The U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures touched $95.03 per barrel during Asia trading hours, marking the highest since August 2022. He forecasts that oil prices will continue to remain at "high level" for the rest of the year, with an upside risk if global oil cartel OPEC+ continues to keep supplies tight. In September, OPEC+ kingpin Saudi Arabia extended its 1 million barrel per day voluntary crude oil production cut until the end of the year. The refinery crude throughput refers to the volume of crude oil a refinery can produce during a given period of time.

Persons: Andrey Rudakov, Cushing, Bart Melek, Melek, Malek Organizations: Tuapsinsky, Rosneft Oil, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Energy Information Administration, U.S . West Texas, Brent, bbl, TD Securities, CNBC, OPEC, Securities Locations: Tuapse, Russia, Cushing , Oklahoma, U.S, Asia, Saudi Arabia

Pump jacks operate at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsTOKYO/BEIJING, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Tuesday amid concerns that fuel demand will be crimped by major central banks holding interest rates higher for longer, even with supply expected to be tight. Higher interest rates slow economic growth, which curbs oil demand. With China's Golden Week holiday starting from Sunday, oil prices could gain support from a pick-up in travel and resulting oil product demand from the world's second biggest oil consumer. Oil prices have risen by around 30% since mid-year driven mostly by tighter supply, wiping off 0.5 percentage points from the global GDP growth in the second half of this year, according to JP Morgan.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Tina Teng, Moody's, Fitch, CMC's Teng, JP Morgan, Baden Moore, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Sonali Paul Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, bbl, National Australia Bank, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Rights TOKYO, BEIJING, Auckland, U.S, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Moscow, Tokyo, Beijing

☆ JPMorgan says oil could spike to $150, gets very bullish on energy stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Get ready for higher energy costs, JPMorgan said Friday, warning that the latest surge in oil prices may have a lot further to run. The recent uptick in oil prices , sparked by output cuts from OPEC and higher demand, has fueled inflationary fears and heightened concern that interest rates may stay at today's lofty levels for longer. Consumer prices in August, for example, showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, the largest monthly gain of the year, partly owing to uptick in energy prices. Brent prices rose another 1% Friday to trade around $94 a barrel as a fuel export ban from Russia reignited global supply fears. Amid this looming energy "supercycle," JPMorgan sees a positive outlook for global energy producers and named Shell , Baker Hughes and Exxon Mobil among its best ideas.

Persons: Christyan Malek, Brent, Malek, Baker Hughes, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Brent, bbl, Shell, Exxon Mobil Locations: Russia

☆ Jefferies says this Latin American oil giant is underappreciated and can rally more than 35%
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

For Brazilian oil and natural gas giant Petrobras , Jefferies says to "let the assets do the talking." It believes its pre-salt oil portfolio offshore Brazil gives it one of the strongest asset bases among global energy names — but shares are currently trading at a 30% discount to its peers. The market underappreciates PBR's high margin pre-salt assets & cash returns ability in an US$80/bbl oil world," analyst Alejandro Anibal Demichelis wrote in a Thursday note. Jefferies' set a $21.20 price target on shares, which implies nearly 38% upside potential from Wednesday's close. In comparison, other international oil companies have an average of 11% shareholder distribution yields and 5% dividend yields, according to Demichelis.

Persons: Jefferies, Alejandro Anibal Demichelis, Demichelis, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Petrobras, bbl, PBR's CF, PBR, West Texas Locations: Brazil

☆ Oil falls ahead of Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Robert Harvey | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Pedro Nunes/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies Federal Reserve interest rate decision due at 1800 GMTLONDON, Sept 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Wednesday ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with investors uncertain when peak rates will be hit and how much of an impact it will have on energy demand. Investors are awaiting the Fed's interest rate decision at 1800 GMT on Wednesday to assess the outlook for economic growth and fuel demand. The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates on hold, but the focus will be on its projected policy path, which is unclear. Prices fell despite U.S. crude oil stockpiles falling last week by about 5.25 million barrels, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Goldman Sachs said it expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday as a result of the fall.

Persons: Pedro Nunes, Edward Moya, Tamas Varga, Brent, Goldman Sachs, Robert Harvey, Yuka Obayashi, Emily Chow, Kim Coghill, Jason Neely, Louise Heavens Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Brent, . U.S . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, bbl, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Lisbon, Portugal, U.S . Federal, U.S, ., London, Tokyo, Singapore

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